Public health interventions successfully mitigated multiple incursions of SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in the Australian Capital Territory (preprint)

The Australian Capital Territory rapidly responded to an incursion of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2) variant on 12 August 2021 with several public health interventions, including a territory-wide lockdown and genomic sequencing. Prior to this date, SARS-CoV-2 had been eliminated locally since July 7, 2020. Sequencing of >75% of cases identified at least 13 independent incursions with onwards spread in the community during the study period, between 12 August and 11 November 2021. Two incursions resulted in the majority of community transmission during this period, with persistent transmission in vulnerable sections of the community. Ultimately, both major incursions were successfully mitigated through public health interventions, including COVID-19 vaccines. In this study we explore the demographic factors that contributed to the spread of these incursions. The high rates of SARS-CoV-2 sequencing in the Australian Capital Territory and the relatively small population size facilitated detailed investigations of the patterns of virus transmission. Genomic sequencing was critical to disentangling complex transmission chains to target interventions appropriately.

COVID-19 outbreaks in Australia during a period of high epidemic control, 2020 (preprint)

To describe characteristics of COVID-19 outbreaks in Australia to guide policy development for mitigation of future outbreaks, we conducted a retrospective analysis of COVID-19 outbreaks affecting two or more people reported to COVID-Net—an Australian national surveillance network—from 28 January until 27 December 2020. The COVID-Net surveillance network covered all Australian states and territories, with an estimated population of 25,649,985 persons as at 31 June 2020. We reported the epidemiology of COVID-19 outbreaks in Australia, including the setting in which they occurred, size, and duration. 853 outbreaks of COVID-19 were reported; associated with 13,957 confirmed cases, of whom 2,047 were hospitalised, and 800 died. The pattern of outbreaks followed a similar trend to the epidemic in Australia, defined by two distinct peaks in mid-March and July. Victoria reported the greatest number of outbreaks across all settings aligned with the second wave of infections. Outbreaks most commonly occurred in the workplace/industry setting (22%, 190/853), followed by education (14%, 122/853), residential aged care (13%, 114/853) and hospitals (10%, 83/853). The majority (40%, 340/853) of outbreaks had 6 to 24 cases, and the median outbreak duration increased in proportion with the number of associated cases. This report summarising COVID-19 outbreaks in Australia identifies settings of highest risk. Surveillance of outbreaks informs our understanding of transmission dynamics in Australia relative to national and jurisdictional interventions. For settings that are high risk for COVID-19, it is important to prioritise planning, surveillance, and implementation of control measures.